QUOTE (John Simkin @ Aug 11 2009, 12:17 PM)

QUOTE (Gary Loughran @ Aug 11 2009, 10:51 AM)

QUOTE (Mark Haley @ Aug 10 2009, 10:45 PM)

Wow John, you're optimistic. I think we'll be battling for 10th... along with Fulham, Balckburn & Sunderland.
I would be amazed if we were not involved in a relegation battle. We have no firepower, a skeletal first team squad, an over reliance on young untested players, no owner, no investment and more and more look like a club barely surviving.
I sincerely hope I'm wrong, that Upson will stay, that we will get 2 good strikers, that we will become a club who doesn't have to sell their best players, that we will survive the latest crisis and the next one and that we will battle for Europe with conviction.
Since the formation of the PL West Ham are in profit on net transfer dealings. We are one of the few, if not the only club to show such stability. Why then have we perpetually been struggling in financial crisis. Answers on a postcard to the apologist for the crooks...Ken Dyer.
There is an interesting article about being a football supporters by Paul MacInnes in today's Guardian. It includes the following:
In an interesting article at OpenDemocracy.org, Chris Goodall discusses the reluctance of the majority to take seriously the threat of climate change. He suggests that one of the contributing factors might be something called optimism bias, a hardwired tendency to accord undue value to the most satisfactory possible outcome. Observed by neurologists, it is even familiar to the Department of Transport, who have their own "guidance document" for dealing with the "demonstrated, systematic, tendency for project appraisers to be overly optimistic" (fans of high-speed rail might wish to switch on their own optimism bias now).
On the one hand, it may be the case that without optimism bias, there could be no romance. Without it, however, the potential for finding oneself as sick as a parrot would also be significantly reduced. With that in mind, I think I owe my own club a round of thanks. On Saturday morning I was doing my best to subdue thoroughly improbable optimism. By 4pm, when I walked out at half-time during Norwich City's 7–1 home defeat to Colchester United, the biggest drubbing in our history, I found my emotional balance entirely restored. I think that's something of a record.http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/20...all-season-fansI am clearly expressing optimism bias. This is an important aspect of my personality. That is what makes me the person I am. I have watched West Ham play three pre-season matches. This includes Saturday's game against Napoli (I took my grandson to see West Ham play at Upton Park for the first time). West Ham have gradually got better over the three games. The defence has played pretty well, although they are clearly not making many chances.
I think Zola will have to readjust his plans. Luis Jimenez is an extremely talented player but I doubt if he has the pace to do well in the premiership. He needs to play two-up front. I would give Zavon Hines a run. He has looked very impressive in the short spells he has played pre-season. He reminds me of a young Ian Wright. Frank Nouble also looks an exciting prospect.
If he manages to sell Upson he will need to bring in a proven goalscorer who will compliment Carlton Cole (he was great on Saturday). We will still have five good central defenders at the club: Tomkins, Collins, Davenport, Gabbidon and N'Gala.
I also hope he reconsiders the idea that Faubert should be our right-back. (He made two schoolboy errors on Saturday and will give away plenty of goals if he continues with him). I would rather see Spector playing in this position. If this changes take place, I still think we can finish in the top six.
Optism bias is a built into all Government departments work via,normally financial elements, of Business Cases and is advised by the OGC Green Book. This is also partly because the Government believes all public works are net spends, never producing financial benefit (and because departments will always tend to underestimate cost in order to get the work, believing its easier to get more money once work has begun, leading of course to the massive overspends which are the net result of, amongst other things, poorly applied optism bias (phew)) - to the extent they ask for the NPC and not the NPV on financials.
I have a pessimism bias and this probably reflects my personality more, I prepare for disappointment or worst case scenario. This year I strongly believe West Ham will struggle. We are not going to buy players, we haven't bought a player in ages. As I've said here and on other forums if Savio cost more than £1 million, we were cheated and robbed. The only reason I can see for money changing hands in that transaction is that Nani's father-in-law is the owner/chairman of Brescia. I'll say again we were robbed.
I challenge your view that we have 5 'good' centre halves - Davenport, Gabbidon and N'Gala hardly fit that category and certainly there is little recent (12-18 months) empirical evidence for them being good. That's not fair on N'Gala, but then he and Tomkins would be too inexperienced to play together.
Of course Luis Jiminez will struggle...we took him. Nani/Duxbury haven't brought a good player to West Ham yet - sorry Ilunga looks decent.
I fear we're going to do a Roeder. 7th place, no investment in squad (whilst Brown consolidated his wealth) then relegation. The signs aren't good. If you can't learn from experience etc. I'm hoping there are at least 3 worse teams than us this year so we can survive almost by default.
More from the London Evening Standard where Ken Dyer runs a one man Operation Mockingbird when it comes to West Ham. Apparently the signing of 'defender' Kovac (a holding midfielder, very very occasional defender) will pave the way for Upson to leave. The frightening thing is that West Ham fans might actually believe Kovac is a replacement for Upson. Dyer is a disgrace to journalism and really ought to do more than take his lead from coffee mornings/press releases with Duxbury and his cronies.