Bill Fite

Oh great - I have that book on Kindle & one of the same MSc degrees as the author. Now I'm gonnahavta look through it again - maybe even read it closely. I remember thinking it pretty thought provoking. I have always wondered about probability calculations and the JFKA - why they aren't used more - then I remember I did read Innumeracy. link to spreadsheet with all data, calculations, and results link to author's blog JFKA section

+1

Hi Pat If the data could be collected (by AI or web scraping or ...by hand) a straightforward approach would be to estimate a statistical model using multinomial logistic regression to estimate the probabilities for each of the targets of the research accepting it and publishing it.

It very well may end up that the AI in the future will be reflecting a whole bunch of previously generated AI garbage all over the net.

Meant by allowing him to run in the Dem primary and debating, isn't that what RFKjr wanted? or am I misremembering that?

Would this have been avoided if Biden had agreed to debate him?

That's where I started both academically and professionally. Mostly using a somewhat dead language PL1 which seemed like a combination of COBOL for input/output and Fortran for computation. Hand that deck in then go wait for an hour for the run to finish after those ahead in the stack. The poor guy who took the decks and then ran them was no longer needed once we could submit jobs from the desktop pcs.

As someone who had their area of study renamed in the Great Renaming around the turn of the millennium from the name the general population didn't understand, Operations Research Analyst, to a name that apparently refers to some guys and gals in the back of a pharmacy, Prescriptive Analytics Engineer by the 'Data Scientists', I find it interesting to see algorithms that existed before being labelled AI. For example, the facial recognition algorithms were well-known decades ago before AI was in the news: I remember laughing at Polly Perrett's character on NCIS recognising a suspect by searching YouTube videos in maybe 15 minutes. Anyway, I've seen AI go from simple rule based systems, to providing solutions to complex planning problems in Prolog (how to re-assign airliners to gates when the schedule has been disrupted by weather cancellations and re-routings), to how to predict the next set of words given previous sets of words. IMO - Large Language Models (AI now) are programs that have implemented memorization which isn't Intelligence. The Prolog example is closer to real intelligence. But just my opinion. That said, I think the applications that have been discussed would be very interesting, just don't know if I would label them AI.

LOL - thanks

another question, actually 2: Is this the same Guinn ran the NAA tests comparing the chemical composition of the MC bullets and refused to report the statistical confidence in his conclusions which were later refuted with 95% confidence? Where does the 2.5 hour estimate come from? experiments or guessing? I don't know if the 2.5 hours is the upper limit or how it was arrived at, but Guinn seems to have been mistaken in the past.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but The NAA was positive for the casts from the hands, but could have been caused by handling printed materials among other items - books for example. So - don't most people wash their hands when using the toilet? Do most people wash their hands more thoroughly than their face? If LHO's washing was to remove GSRs why would he not concentrate on his hands? I don't follow the assumption that he would wash the GSRs off his face but not his hands.

wrt Iraq: I always remembered this. When Gen. Colin Powell gave his presentation to the United Nations, the US had the Guernica tapestry covered. That should have told everyone what the truth was.

@Pat Speer Thank you for all the effort you put into this and the clear explanation of all the results of the GSR / NAA tests and experimental setup. I've been looking for more details on the NAA tests for quite a while. Very well done and also well-written.

Actually, the quoted text was written by Pat Speer - I just agreed.

It's not just the paraffin test but the Neutron Activation Analysis tests performed on the Oswald paraffin and the paraffin tests on 7 FBI agents who test fired an MC rifle (the MC rifle). The NAA would be much more sensitive than paraffin tests. LHO's result was negative. All 7 FBI agents positive. A summary can be found here - http://www.22november1963.org.uk/jfk-assassination-neutron-activation-analysis. Pat Speer posted a really good explanation of this last week in this thread -

+1

I seem to remember that there was a JFKA conference in the last year where Ron Paul was going to present who he believed was responsible. Am I misremembering that? or does someone know what he said?

Incredible that they would do this.

Thanks much for the detailed answer and the amount of time that had to be put into gathering all the info. It's very interesting.

I wonder why the FBI did not do a follow-up on the NAA tests on the 7 test shooters to test for false negatives. Have 7 other marksmen shoot, then wash their faces, then take a paraffin test to see whether the NAA would be positive or negative. I guess the FBI did not have a statistician or probability modeller take a look at the experimental set up or maybe they just didn't want to know the answer.

+1 I haven't read Chesser's book, but others have led me to agree.

thanks again

Watched the videos. Thanks I'd heard of the spot where the storm drain was at the end of the overpass but never seen a photo. I think it was said that it has been paved over in the last few years. Why yuk?

Those on your list are the ones that I think are most suspicious, especially the FBI agents and Richard Case Nagell. IIRC: One of the FBI agents that died just before giving testimony was the agent who collected the photos and movies of the murder.

I don't know if you've seen it, but there is some thought that AI will collapse upon itself by the algorithms finding more and more output from AI on the net and not non-AI-produced data. By garbage in -- I mean AI produced output from the bot algorithm and not the conspirator list. That said, it might be interesting to ask an AI chatbot a question or questions something like: Given the list of suspects and roles what are the 5 most likely conspiracies given at least 1 conspirator in each role and no conspirator in more than 1 conspiracy based on connections between suspects? If I had the time and knowledge about how to best compose the query I would give it a go.