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The inevitable end result of our last 56 years


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6 hours ago, Robert Wheeler said:

Biden was way behind in states like Michigan and Pennsylvania. So when they started stuffing ballots, they got really sloppy. That's how you end up with a batch of 138,000 ballots in one bunch, all marked "Biden", which is statistically impossible. (138,000 coin tosses in a row that all end up "heads.")

 

Wheeler still hasn't figured it out. That is, how the late bumps in Biden's counts came about. No, they weren't the result of fraudulent ballot stuffing.

Two or three weeks ago I learned that a very large majority of the mail-in votes were being cast by Democrats. Made sense given that Trump had told his followers to vote on election day and not use the mail.

Some time after that I learned that, in most the battleground states, the election-day ballots would be counted first followed by the mail-in ballots. It didn't take long for me to realize that this would result in the vote counts looking favorable to Trump at first, only for the trend to reverse and be in Biden's favor later, once the mail-in ballots began to be tallied.

And that is precisely what happened! It had nothing to do with ballot stuffing. Of course.

 

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1 hour ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

Well thank you Cliff, As I said at the time, you and I were pretty much in sync, and you did get Georgia, but you also gave Biden Florida and North Carolina. I said I thought there was an outside chance you could be right about Florida, but I didn't trust Florida. But I did complement you for your astuteness on Arizona.

Kirk, we can both make an argument for the top prize in Wheeler's contest. 

Since we were playing in his contest he needs to adjudicate the winner.

Robert, I know you read some of my posts -- who won the Wheeler Trophy??

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 https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-end-of-the-line-for-trumpland-is-a-poorly-rated-sex-shop-in-north-philly?ref=home

image.png.b1d009b46135b1275c9d1f8b8d40888e.png

"On Saturday morning, members of Donald Trump’s legal armada scrambled to put together a press conference to challenge the legitimacy of the election. For the site of their Waterloo, they chose a landscaping business in Philadelphia that rested on an industrial road next to an erotic book shop that hosts “Dildo Madness” sales and whose proprietors have taken a decidedly negative assessment of water-based lube."

Steve Thomas

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24 minutes ago, Cliff Varnell said:

Kirk, we can both make an argument for the top prize in Wheeler's contest. 

Since we were playing in his contest he needs to adjudicate the winner.

Robert, I know you read some of my posts -- who won the Wheeler Trophy??

You can have the Wheeler trophy. Why on earth would we let Wheeler make any rules? . Whose ever closest to the final result total wins. That's where all the bets are. You've predicted 50 more electoral votes for Dems than me. (340-88). My total is 291-147.That's almost exactly what it would be if Biden didn't win Georgia. Everybody's pretty much casting it as Biden 306, the same total as Trump in 2016. So I'd be off by 15, and you'd be off by 34.

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14 hours ago, Robert Wheeler said:

837428601_Screenshot2020-11-07152519.jpg.1005da9b74f368baa05dc26cda20b6e1.jpg

Do you really think Biden won?

I'm going to assume you know how the process works better than most Americans. In 2000 we did not know until December 12 when the Supreme Court gave their decision.

This is going to be 2000 on Steroids. Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada are all going to court.

This graph below shows the problem with just the Michigan count.

See where the Biden count increases vertically (after the 3rd vertical line in the graph below.)?

That is 138,000 votes for Biden.

It is the equivalent of tossing a coin and having it land on "heads" 138,000 times in a row.

The probability of tossing a coin 138,000 times and having it land on its head is 1 / 4.1 ^690,000.

Also expressible as 1 divided by 4.1 raised to the 690,000 power.

Also expressible as 1 / 410000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 + 689,950 more zeros.

The estimated number of atoms in the observable universe is 10^80.

Wisconsin has the same observable problem

1665808892_Screenshot2020-11-05112406.jpg.74db6f13b9e67dee28201900c06a6e42.jpg

If you sort data, you get plots like this.

In person votes counted first then mail-in & absentee ballots was the sorting used, no?

BTW - the same vertical jump is shown earlier in the plot where the red line jumps up vertically. 

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Who will be the Heir to the Orange Dynasty?

Will Ivanka poison the first-born son and heir apparent Donald, Jr.?

Will Melania be confined to a nunnery or locked up in the Tower of London?

Will Barron raise an army and fight from overseas?

Will Kimberly Guilfoyle continue to give lap dances for wealthy donors?

Will fail-son Eric be sent off to fight meaningless wars in distant lands?

The saga. The drama...

Steve Thomas

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15 hours ago, Robert Wheeler said:

Biden was way behind in states like Michigan and Pennsylvania. So when they started stuffing ballots, they got really sloppy. That's how you end up with a batch of 138,000 ballots in one bunch, all marked "Biden", which is statistically impossible. (138,000 coin tosses in a row that all end up "heads.")

Federal Investigators Deployed To Michigan After Undercover Video Alleging Voter Fraud Goes Viral

 

Clerical error, fully explained here:

https://amp.freep.com/amp/6161367002?__twitter_impression=true

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