Bush has finished America in a mere 7 years

[Douglas Caddy]

Supermodel Spurns the Dollar

Dollar's Fall Collapses the American Empire; Bring Those 737 Overseas Military Bases Home!

By PAUL CRAIG ROBERTS

www.counterpunch.org

November 7, 2007

http://www.counterpunch.org/roberts11072007.html

The US dollar is still officially the world's reserve currency, but it cannot purchase the services of Brazilian super model Gisele Bundchen. Gisele required the $30 million she earned during the first half of this year to be paid in euros.

Gisele is not alone in her forecast of the dollar's fate. The First Post (UK) reports that Jim Rogers, a former partner of billionaire George Soros, is selling his home and all possessions in order to convert all his wealth into Chinese yuan.

Meanwhile, American economists continue to preach that offshoring is good for the US economy and that Bush's war spending is keeping the economy going. The practitioners of supply and demand have yet to figure out that the dollar's supply is sinking the dollar's price and along with it American power.

The macho super patriots who support the Bush regime still haven't caught on that US superpower status rests on the dollar being the reserve currency, not on a military unable to occupy Baghdad. If the dollar were not the world currency, the US would have to earn enough foreign currencies to pay for its 737 oversees bases, an impossibility considering America's $800 billion trade deficit.

When the dollar ceases to be the reserve currency, foreigners will cease to finance the US trade and budget deficits, and the American Empire along with its wars will disappear overnight. Perhaps Bush will be able to get a World Bank loan, or maybe one from the "Chavez bank," to bring the troops home from Iraq and Afghanistan.

Foreign leaders, observing that offshoring and war are accelerating America's relative economic decline, no longer treat the US with the deference to which Washington is accustomed. Ecuador's president, Rafael Correa, recently refused Washington's demand to renew the lease on the Manta air base in Ecuador. He told Washington that the US could have a base in Ecuador if Ecuador could have a military base in the US.

When Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez addressed the UN, he crossed himself as he stood at the podium. Referring to President Bush, Chavez said, "Yesterday the devil came here, and it smells of sulfur still today." Bush, said Chavez, was standing "right here, talking as if he owned the world."

In his state of the nation message last year, Russian president Vladimir Putin said that Bush's blathering about democracy was nothing but a cloak for the pursuit of American self-interests at the expense of other peoples. "We are aware what is going on in the world. Comrade wolf knows whom to eat, and he eats without listening, and he's clearly not going to listen to anyone." In May 2007, Putin criticized the neocon regime in Washington for "disrespect for human life" and "claims to global exclusiveness, just as it was in the time of the Third Reich."

Even America's British allies regard President Bush as a threat to world peace and the second most dangerous man alive. Bush is edged out in polls by Osama bin Laden, but is regarded as more dangerous than Iran's demonized president and North Korea's Kim Jong-il.

President Bush has achieved his dismal world standing despite spending $1.6 billion of hard-pressed Americans' tax money on public relations between 2003 and 2006.

Clearly, America's leader and America's currency are poorly regarded. Is there a solution?

Perhaps the answer lies in those 737 overseas bases. If those bases were brought home and shared among the 50 states, each state would gain 15 new military bases.

Imagine what this would mean: The end of the housing slump. A reduction in the trade deficit.

And the end of the war on terror.

Who would dare attack a country with 15 new military bases in every state in addition to the existing ones? Wherever a terrorist turned, he would find himself surrounded by soldiers.

All of the dollars currently spent abroad to support 737 overseas bases would be spent at home. Income for foreigners would become income for Americans, and the trade deficit would shrink.

The impact of the 737 military base payrolls on the US economy would end the housing crisis and bring back the 140,000 highly paid financial services jobs, the loss of which this year has cost the US $42 billion in consumer income. Foreclosures and bankruptcies would plummet.

If this isn't enough to turn the dollar around, President Bush's pledge not to appoint an Attorney General if Michael Mukasey is not confirmed offers more promise. If the Democrats will defeat Mukasey's nomination, there are other superfluous cabinet departments that can be closed down in addition to the US Department of Torture and Indefinite Detention.

The American empire is being unwound on the battlefields of Iraq and Afghanistan. The year is two months from being over, but already in 2007, despite the touted "surge," deaths of US soldiers are the highest of any year of the war.

The Taliban are the ones who are surging. They have taken control of a third district in Western Afghanistan. Turkey and the Kurds are on the verge of turning northern Iraq into a new war zone, another demonstration of American impotence.

Bush's wars have endangered America's puppet regimes. Bush's Pakistani puppet, Musharraf, is fighting for his life. By resorting to "emergency rule" and oppressive measures, Musharraf has intensified his opposition. When Musharraf falls, thanks to Bush, the Islamists will have nukes.

American generals used to say that the wars Bush started in the Middle East would take 10 years to win. On Oct. 31 General John Abizaid, former commander of US forces in the Middle East, put paid to that optimistic forecast. Speaking at Carnegie Mellon University, Gen. Abizaid said it would be 50 years before US troops can leave the Middle East.

There is no possibility of the US remaining in the Middle East for a half century. The dollar and US power are already on their last legs, unbeknownst to Democratic leaders Pelosi and Reid who are preparing yet another blank check for Bush's latest request for $200 billion in supplementary war funding.

There isn't any money with which to fund Bush's lost war. It will have to be borrowed from China.

The Romans brought on their own demise, but it took them centuries. Bush has finished America in a mere 7 years.

Even as Gisele throws off the dollar's hegemony, Brazil, Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, and Columbia are declaring independence of the IMF and World Bank, instruments of US financial hegemony, by creating their own development bank, thus bringing to an end US suzerainty over South America.

An empire that has lost its backyard is finished.

Paul Craig Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan administration. He was Associate Editor of the Wall Street Journal editorial page and Contributing Editor of National Review. He is coauthor of The Tyranny of Good Intentions.He can be reached at: PaulCraigRoberts@yahoo.com

[Guest David Guyatt]

The collapse of the US dollar has long been discussed... ten years or more. With a deficit approaching an absolutely unreedemable $10 trillion, the dollar survives only on the the good will and the massive pool of dollar assets held by foreign central banks... all of them have a piece of the dollar.

The question (or paradox) these central banks face is how to extricate themselves from the dollar without causing immediate, and massive, losses in their own exchange values. Last I heard, 80% of the US Treasury assets were held offshore.

One day it will just collapse like a house of cards...

By then I suspect that all the juice will have already ben extracted from the USA, as Peter suggests, and the wolves will simply move on... as they always do.

David

[Douglas Caddy]

The collapse of the US dollar has long been discussed... ten years or more. With a deficit approaching an absolutely unreedemable $10 trillion, the dollar survives only on the the good will and the massive pool of dollar assets held by foreign central banks... all of them have a piece of the dollar.

The question (or paradox) these central banks face is how to extricate themselves from the dollar without causing immediate, and massive, losses in their own exchange values. Last I heard, 80% of the US Treasury assets were held offshore.

One day it will just collapse like a house of cards...

By then I suspect that all the juice will have already ben extracted from the USA, as Peter suggests, and the wolves will simply move on... as they always do.

David

Under Bush, the deficit has increased by $3.865 trillion, per the article below.

_______

National Debt at Record $9 Trillion

Wednesday November 7, 5:59 pm ET

By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer

National Debt Hits $9 Trillion for the First Time

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The national debt has hit $9 trillion for the first time.

The Treasury Department, which issues a daily accounting of the debt, said Wednesday that the debt subject to limit was at $9 trillion on Tuesday. It was $8.996 trillion on Monday.

Last month, Congress passed and President Bush signed into law an increase in the government's borrowing ceiling to $9.815 trillion. It was the fifth debt limit increase since Bush took office in January 2001. Those increases have totaled $3.865 trillion.

The administration contends the rising debt reflects such factors as slow economic growth during the 2001 recession, the Sept. 11 attacks and the cost of fighting terrorism.

Democrats place much of the blame for the exploding debt on Bush's first-term tax cuts, which they say are tilted to the wealthy. The administration says those tax cuts helped to jump-start the economy and resulted in falling budget deficits in recent years.

The tax cuts are set to expire at the end of 2010. The administration and Republicans in Congress want to see them made permanent; many Democrats would like to see them revamped to provide more benefits to lower and middle-income taxpayers.

The budget deficit for the 2007 budget year, which ended Sept. 30, was $162.8 billion, the lowest in five years.

In 2004, the deficit was $413 billion, a record in dollar terms.

The national debt is the total of the annual budget deficits plus money that the government borrows from the Social Security and other government trust funds.

The total national debt is actually higher than $9 trillion because it includes borrowing by some agencies that are not covered by the congressional debt limit. That total was $9.086 trillion on Tuesday.

It took the country from George Washington until Ronald Reagan to reach the first $1 trillion in debt.

[Douglas Caddy]

If one reads Peter Dale Scott's latest book or Chalmers Johnson's one sees that while the Bush II Administration may have coup de grace 

rights, this has been long planned and long persued. Scott's book details how W is 

just being manipulated by a hidden hand that has been behind the scenes since th

 War planning what they have been. The American Economy may collapse, but those 

really in control have already moved their assets offshore and into non-dollar assets. They are a step and a half ahead of the destruction they are 

bringing to the average American and other being and animals/plants/protists on the planet. These are dark days for the 'rest' of us.

Relevant quotes from a front-page article in today’s New York Times, “Markets and Dollar Sink as U.S. Slowdown Grows”:

“’We are experiencing among our clients an awakening that the United States is in big trouble,” says Erik Nielsen, chief Europe economist at Goldman Sachs’”…

“The most immediate trigger for the sell-off in the dollar, traders said, was a jarring signal that suggested China might shift some of its enormous hoard of dollars and dollar-denominated assets – more than $1.4 trillion—into other currencies to get a better return on its money.”

“’We will favor stronger currencies over weaker ones, and will adjust accordingly,’ Cheng Siwei, Vice Chairman of the Standing Committee at the National People’s Congress told a conference in Beijing Wednesday.”

[Guest David Guyatt]

Relevant quotes from a front-page article in today’s New York Times, “Markets and Dollar Sink as U.S. Slowdown Grows”:

“’We are experiencing among our clients an awakening that the United States is in big trouble,” says Erik Nielsen, chief Europe economist at Goldman Sachs’”…

“The most immediate trigger for the sell-off in the dollar, traders said, was a jarring signal that suggested China might shift some of its enormous hoard of dollars and dollar-denominated assets – more than $1.4 trillion—into other currencies to get a better return on its money.”

“’We will favor stronger currencies over weaker ones, and will adjust accordingly,’ Cheng Siwei, Vice Chairman of the Standing Committee at the National People’s Congress told a conference in Beijing Wednesday.”

China has threatened to do this before, but didn't. I wonder if it is just another propaganda exercise on their part, because one way of making sure you loose a bunch of money is to pre-announce your going to sell your foreign currency. All the major banks in the world will be looking for that first call from the Chinese central bank to sell some of its dollars -- and word gets around like wildfire once the first call is made (news of central bank activity travels around at the speed of light). By the time of the second and third calls being made, everyone knows what's happening and the entire market has deeply discounted the value of the dollars.

My take would be if they were serious, they would try to shift their dollars in small bits over a long period of time, so as not to rock the market and depreciate their value. But this would still be very hard to achieve.

My best guess about this story is that some of the banks have shorted the dollar in expectation of a decline in value and are nudging this expectation along with a call to their media reporter of choice.

David