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Evan Burton

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Posts posted by Evan Burton

  1. Well, fairly deep water and cold, so the reduced oxygen content would mean reduced corrosion... but there are a variety of metals used in the engine construction: copper, stainless steel, steel, nickel, silver, aluminium, titanium, iconel alloys and even gold-plating! Some will have withstood time better than others.

  2. It is a tremendous find in several ways. Firstly, the historical importance of such artefacts cannot be understated; everything to do with this particular mission concerns not just the USA but all of the world.

    Next, it will be interesting to see how NASA deal with the request. Unlike the recovery of Gus Grissom's Liberty Bell 7 Mercury capsule (to whom the explorers purchased the full rights to), these engines are still owned by the US taxpayer. I can't see them not being allowed to be put on display but it is interesting nonetheless.

    Lastly, on another forum there was an Apollo denier who wandered into this area. One of the cornerstones of their argument was that if we did it before (the lunar landings), why haven't we been back? Why so long to do it now? The explanation of cost and technical atrophy would not gel with this person. We pointed out parallels: Concorde and the Trieste. The Trieste was a bathyscaphe that went to the bottom of the Mariana Trench in the early 1960s. It was pointed out that according to this person's logic, the Trieste must also been faked since more modern and more technically capable craft had not repeated the feat.

    This person then decided to try and prove that the voyage of the Trieste had been faked. Suffice to say they embarrassed themselves and simply appeared to be a fanatic who refused to admit they might be wrong.

    This latest journey simply drives two nails in their twin hoax theories.

  3. Lee,

    I've shown that Jim's assertions in many aspects of this incident are just plain wrong:

    - Weather was not fine

    - GPS would have alerted if it was being interfered with

    - Safe flight could have still been possible even with a total electrical failure

    - There have been numerous instances of experienced crews losing SA during instrument approaches

    - One of the most dangerous phases of flight is during the landing, especially in poor to marginal weather conditions

    Note that I have not said that his main assertion - that it was an assassination - is wrong, just that the facts do not support that conclusion.

    If you can refute any of my posts, please do so.

    As I expected, no attempt to refute my facts. Quite typical.

  4. Lee,

    I've shown that Jim's assertions in many aspects of this incident are just plain wrong:

    - Weather was not fine

    - GPS would have alerted if it was being interfered with

    - Safe flight could have still been possible even with a total electrical failure

    - There have been numerous instances of experienced crews losing SA during instrument approaches

    - One of the most dangerous phases of flight is during the landing, especially in poor to marginal weather conditions

    Note that I have not said that his main assertion - that it was an assassination - is wrong, just that the facts do not support that conclusion.

    If you can refute any of my posts, please do so.

  5. Bill,

    I can only be of limited help here. This is what I can tell you.

    - Andrews Sideband. Sir?

    (Sideband refers to Single Side Band, a way of utilising a radio frequency)

    - This is Colonel Dorman, General LeMay's aide.

    - Right.

    - General LeMay is in a C-140

    (The C-140 was the military version of the Lockheed Jetstar, basically a small, twin engined executive jet)

    - The last three numbers are 497 SAM 497

    (SAM refers to Special Air Mission, basically a high-ranking VIP flight)

    - 497 last three numbers.

    - Right. He is in bound. His code name is Grandson, and I want to talk to him.

    - Grandson. Okay sir, we'll see what we can do. We're really busy with Air Force One right now.

    - Okay. You don't have the capability to work more than one?

    - We're running Air Force One with two different frequencies.

    - We're running two patches at once and that's all we can do.

    - I see.

    - What is your drop sir? Are you on the drop off the Washington switch?

    (Unsure but switch to me would suggest switchboard, or communications operator)

    - Well I am. Yes. Either drop three oh three or seven, nine, two, two five.

    (I'm unsure what this refers to. In today's military, you 'drop track' which means you stop tracking a particular target. In this case though, I think they refer to frequencies: 303 MHz VHF or 79.225 MHz HF)

    - But if you can't do it now it will be too late because he will be on the ground in a half hour.

    - Okay, and what is your name again sir?

    - Colonel Dorman. D-O-R-M-A-N

    - Okay, I'll get back to you...if we can get him right away sir.

  6. Yep - six days and despite his error being noted by other people, no attempt at a correction is made. I really dislike such behaviour; when people refuse to acknowledge that they have made an error and just ignore reality, blindly going off on their own tangent. IMO it severely damages whatever credibility the person(s) had.

    In Jim's case, what other errors has he made in various subjects and refused to correct them? What conclusions has he drawn from assumptions or data that we know to be erroneous?

  7. You're right, they do say that in the article.

    WTF? The government is going to claim an attack on a decommissioned vessel? The Navy register has it decommissioned, the Vincennes Association has it decommissioned and scrapped... everyone understands this except their "reliable source"! It not only does not make sense, it is nonsense.

    I presume, as always, that there won't be a correction to the article, confirming that the Vincennes has actually been scrapped?

  8. I guess they were going to claim the ship was other than Vincennes, one of the active ships of the class? I don't know. Like a lot of this type of conspiracy, it doesn't make sense.

    Yes, IIRC, Alex Jones was also promoting something along the same lines and, as always, it doesn't turn out to be correct. Still even a stopped clock is right twice a day; if you just keep on making predictions left, right and centre, you are bound to get something right every now and again. His followers seem to have selective memory loss and forget all the previous claims when a new one is made.

  9. I found in this article our very own Jim Fetzer claiming that the ex-USN guided missile cruiser, the VINCENNES, is going to be used in a false flag operation against Iran:

    We beg to differ. There are major indications that the vessel of choice is to be the USS Vincennes. The fourth USS Vincennes (CG-49) is a US Navy Ticonderoga class Aegis guided missile cruiser. On July 3, 1988, the ship shot down Iran Air Flight 655 over the Persian Gulf, killing all 290 civilian passengers on board, including 38 non-Iranians and 66 children.

    This would be an ideal vessel for the staged provocation as it could be easily sold to the world as having been Iranian retribution for the 1988 downing of Flight 655. That way the evident lack of motive for Iran to provoke the US and Israeli military will be replaced by a perceived "motive." No one will stop to ask themselves why Iran would thereby engage itself in a major war.

    If we were to believe the Wikipedia version of history the Vincennes has already been scrapped. The Wikipedia article for the Vincennes states, "The Vincennes was completely scrapped by 23 November 2011." If that were true it could not be used as the target of this "false-flag" attack. Yet we have photographic and testimonial evidence suggesting otherwise.

    The article goes on to say that the vessel was moved from Puget Sound "...in the dead of night about two months ago...". The article is dated 14 Jan 2012 which would mean the Vincennes left late October or early November 2011.

    So where is the Vincennes? Well, by April 2011 it was already being scrapped in Brownsville, Texas!

    51057065.jpg

    (From site http://www.panoramio.../photo/51057065 )

    You can even still see the 49 on her bow.

    Jim, can I suggest to you that your "reliable source" is anything but? With a little effort I am sure you could even interview people who scrapped her.

    BTW, your "reliable source" asks:

    "Why else would they move it when all the rest sit at a buoy here for months before they finally leave to be sunk?"

    That would be because it was sold for scrap. Other vessels continue to sit there, either awaiting sale, donation as museum ships, use as practice targets, or part of the 'mothball fleet', ready for reactivation if required. For instance, you can see three or four old aircraft carriers there. Other naval shipyards have similar 'mothball' fleets.

  10. This is the dawning of the new Age of Superstition

    By Dr Rob Morrison

    From August till the end of the year is the season for science awards. Eureka Prizes, Prime Minister's Prizes, State Awards for Science Excellence, The Unsung Hero of Science Award, The State Scientists of the Year, Nobel Prizes … on it goes; the glittering array of rewards for those who have truly advanced knowledge and improved the lot of mankind.

    Predictably, most of the speeches that laud the winners will mention something like the growing number of Australia's Nobel laureates in science, how this is a time when science is paramount, how our lives are dependent on science and technology and how virtually every benefit we now enjoy - from better health and longer lives to the internet and safer cars - is the product of scientific processes, improved technology and their application.

    Why, then, is this era in which we live apparently the most superstitious and anti-science period since the Middle Ages? Pseudoscience and non-science not only abound, they are actively embraced by thousands who subject themselves and (worse) their children to a variety of nonsensical alternative "treatments" that at their best cause no harm, but at their worst cause serious disease, disability or even death.

    Reflexology, iridology, homeopathy, naturopathy, anti-vaccination, crystal healing… the list is huge and growing.

    Explanations are many. The huge dropout rate from science in schools means that there are fewer people who actually understand how science works. Maybe this lack of understanding induces fear of the unknown, so that non-science is seen as somehow safer than science.

    Perhaps the complexity of science means that people happily opt for simplistic alternatives, however wrong, just as people flooded with too much information when they search for a house ultimately choose one simply because they like the door handle. There is probably a clue in the way that most alternative treatments are said to involve "energy," "vibrations," "purifying the blood," or a host of other impressive but vague terms which sound vaguely scientific but hold absolutely no meaning at all.

    Take, for example, the claim of The Chiropractor's Association of Australia that "innate intelligence" determines body-wide health, that changes to spinal anatomy they call "subluxation" interfere with the "guiding energy" of innate intelligence and that adjustments can "cure 95 per cent of what ails man".

    Perhaps claims like that are so sweeping and all-embracing that they overwhelm, like the chiropractic paediatric websites which claim that this "adjustment" can help many potentially serious childhood conditions including "fever, colic, croup, allergies, wheezing, poor posture, stomach-ache, hearing loss, headaches, asthma, bed-wetting, bronchitis learning disorders, arthritis, poor concentration…" and many other problems.

    That is such a large net that catching only a few vulnerable converts - and most people with children are pretty vulnerable - will earn a tidy bit of income.

    Undoubtedly some alternative treatments, dressed up as they are as "ancient wisdom," "mysteries of the East" and "secrets of the ages" are cosmetically more exciting than an hour's wait for a prescription in a conventional doctor's waiting room with nothing to read but old copies of New Idea; almost anything beats that. It is also true that some alternative pursuits, unhampered by any ethical or advertising restraints, can claim what they like and spend a great deal on self-promotion.

    Real doctors can't do that, and most don't want to.

    Paradoxically, while spouting this nonsense about the wisdom of centuries-old pursuits (remember those times when the life span was 30 if you were lucky, and one third of Europe died of the plague, which they thought was caused by 'miasmas' in the air?), the practitioners of these pseudosciences get to parasitise not only the terminology of science but also the trappings of its conventionality.

    You find the same thing with anti-evolutionary creationists who, while denying the real and demonstrable discoveries of science, are nonetheless content to adopt its terminology with meaningless terms like "Creation Science," to lend their faith-based absurdities a bit of pilfered respectability. The alternative health brigade demand to assume the role of primary health carer, and are routinely photographed in white coats while calling themselves "Doctor."

    Think I am exaggerating? The 2011 annual report of the Chiropractors Association of Australia claims "We are in a unique position to be in the forefront of primary care and the natural leaders in prevention and wellness for Australia. Our intellectual property over the power of subluxation and its impact on health is well understood by the CAA."

    In 2010 they reported that "after ten years of hard slog by the CAA every chiropractor in the country will be permitted under legislation to use the title doctor."

    Medical doctors and those who have a doctorate in a scientific discipline have earned that title, not by 10 years of hard political slog to insist on being called it, but by 10 years of scientific study; evaluated not by themselves but by independent examiners well versed in evidence-based practice who are equipped to assess the scientific validity of knowledge and research.

    You can find many people who will swear by their alternative treatments. Why, then, would you consider them to be inferior to evidence-based treatments? That phenomenon has, itself, been well researched.

    First there is the placebo effect. Very powerful, it means that people given a sugar pill that they think will help, actually do feel better. It is not the treatment that works but the expectation of it. It even works when they know it is a sugar pill, but they don't conclude that the placebo did the job; they assume that the treatment is effective.

    Second, there is regression to the mean. People who get a cold feel terrible, but usually improve after about three days. They also feel bad enough on the third day to go to the doctor.

    Irrespective of what treatment they get there, they feel better on the fourth day, but put it down to the doctor's ministrations, not to natural recovery. The same is true if they consult a charlatan.

    What practices can truly claim to be scientific or evidence-based? In short, they have to assume natural laws are involved, not mystical influences. They have to lend themselves to hypothesis, which means that you stick your neck out and say what you think will happen under certain circumstances. Some alternative practices get as far as that but most stop there.

    The scientific bit comes when you set up a well-designed experiment or trial to test your hunch, introduce a control condition for comparison, get unbiased judges to vet your results (all of them), deal with their queries to the satisfaction of other independent witnesses and finally publish your study if it meets the approval of well-credentialled assessors who will try to fault your experimental design, methodology and conclusions.

    Other people then repeat your experiment and, if they get different results, they say so, helping to weed out inaccuracies from science's long list of evidence-based discoveries. You don't get there by self-assessment among your disciples or by loosely claiming achievements, pointing to what you claim as successes while hiding your failures, relying on those who support you while ignoring critics, and dressing the whole thing up in vague descriptions, mystical references and invented terminology that sounds impressive but defies analysis, let alone experimental verification.

    Why has all of this surfaced now? A group of doctors and scientists has just gone public to protest at the growing numbers of universities offering pseudoscience and alternative courses as though they are evidence-based and scientifically valid. It is easy to see why some universities do this; there is a quid in it, but in doing so they put at risk their credibility and that of their staff and their other science and health degrees, some of which are first class.

    The number of universities involved is surprisingly large and growing. At least 14 universities across five states and territories now offer courses from homeopathy and chiropractic to aromatherapy and reflexology. Many courses lurk under general terms such as "Complementary Medicine" and "Alternative Therapies". When in doubt, be vague; it is harder to discredit.

    The trigger for this group of scientists has been the plan by Central Queensland University (CQU) to offer a degree in chiropractic, starting in 2012, but they have broadened their criticism to include pseudoscience in general and quackery in the name of science in particular.

    This is not a territorial grab by medicos. Some of the group are pure scientists, but all of them understand and support the crucial role that science plays in sorting out truth from assertion in the health arena. They stress that they are not trying to stop the public accessing alternative therapists or unproven therapies, but they do want false claims about them to be policed effectively, and they want the public made aware about their lack of scientific evidence base.

    They would also like to save you a lot of money. At present, partly because the pseudoscience practitioners are strident lobbyists, taxpayers' money goes to funding their courses and even to reimbursing people who undertake their invalid procedures. The group of scientists advocates the stopping of federal funding to courses on unproven anti-science alternative medical therapies, and they urge that science–based universities stop endorsing dubious health practices.

    They also urge that health funds offer insurance plans that allow the public to opt out of paying for alternative therapies that are not evidence-based.

    When Prime Minister Gillard assumed that position, much was made of the government being guided in its future decisions by evidence-based information. Right! Good idea! Let's follow through! As the group of scientists says, there should be greater government regulation of unproven claims for alternative therapies, both by therapists and for alternative medicines. They should also revisit who, in the supposed health arena, is entitled to call themselves "doctor."

    It is a paradox, and more than alarming, that if I want to set myself up as a medical practitioner, I will have to earn the right to do it, or if I want to foist a new drug onto the populace, I will need to subject it to serious scientific analysis by independent and highly qualified people.

    Yet I can create a new 'treatment," attribute its power to the wisdom of anonymous ancients, describe it in mysterious but meaningless pseudoscientific terminology, declare some toxic plant a 'beneficial herb," label myself a doctor and proceed virtually unhindered to damage the gullible or, at best, keep them and their possibly dangerous illnesses from real treatments of proven value.

    Back in the "ancient times" so beloved of some of this alternative brigade, surgeons were actually barbers, well equipped with razors to open the veins of their patients for a bit of blood-letting; the fashionable treatment of the time. The "doctors" of America's wild west were self-proclaimed therapists, peddling worthless and sometimes dangerous patent medicines to people who knew no better than to trust them.

    It is extraordinary that, in this most scientific and technologically advanced age of any time, when accurate information about disease and its effective treatment is available as never before, we should be reverting to pseudoscientific nonsense when it comes to the health and safety of ourselves and the people that we love, and paying dearly for it in the process.

    When that is encouraged by institutions that should be among our most trusted advocates of evidence-based heath science, and the governments that fund them, it must be time for some serious evaluation of what has gone wrong.

    Dr Rob Morrison writes and broadcasts on science matters and has won many media awards, including two Eureka Prizes, one of them being the Australian Government Eureka Prize for the Promotion of Science (2007). He was the Senior Australian of the Year for South Australia in 2008, and is an Ambassador for the Australia Day Council. He is a Professorial Fellow at Flinders University of South Australia.

    (And yes, he co-hosted the Curiosity Show)

    http://www.thepunch....f-superstition/

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