Jump to content
The Education Forum

Cliff Varnell

Members
  • Posts

    8,378
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Cliff Varnell

  1. 11 minutes ago, Benjamin Cole said:

    IMHO, theories like this undercut the credibility of the JFKA research community. 

    Careful there, Mr. Cole.  You've promoted the back-wound-short-load-at-Z190 scenario -- a theory that cannot be supported by fact.  Jim DiEugenio and Pat Speer have also.  When I read or hear the phrase, "undercut the credibility of the JFKA research community," those guys come to mind.

     

  2. The GOP platform calls for an "Iron Dome" missile defense shield across the entire country, a massive increase in military spending. 

    They also call for tax cuts for the rich. 

    Top Trumpers Steve Bannon and Kash Patel promise "the biggest infrastructure project in history" -- a network of "detention centers" for undocumented immigrants, "tent cities" for the swept-up homeless, and we can be sure black sites for the lefty vermin.  A gulag,

    Where will the money come from for all? 

    "Reform" of Social Security and Medicare.

  3. Ambivalence in action...

    https://split-ticket.org/2024/07/10/we-polled-the-nation-heres-what-we-found/

    President Joe Biden trails former President Donald Trump by one point in a survey conducted by Split Ticket and Data For Progress. The poll was conducted online between July 1–3, 2024 with a sample size of N=2,067 likely voters, and was weighted to be representative of age, gender, education, race, geography, and the recalled 2020 vote.

  4. 2 minutes ago, Matt Allison said:

     

    I think the DC/NYC/LA "important" people are waiting for more polling. The upper crust need their polling...

    Meanwhile, while Cheeto-lini stays home and plays golf for the 14th straight afternoon, Biden is out smoothly running the country every day, hosting the NATO summit, and on the trail campaigning, unscripted, and doing great:

     

     

    WAPO today:

    “In a closed-door meeting Wednesday, some of the country’s union leaders — many of whom are strident backers of Biden — said Americans’ doubts about Biden’s ability to do the job were damaging his candidacy and repeatedly asked Biden campaign officials for their plan to defeat Trump.”

  5. 1 hour ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    He's a very weak candidate.

    With the exception of one debate, when has Biden ever lost?

    Can you name any legislative defeats outside the Republican immigration bill?

    How about state and local elections for the Biden-era Democratic Party?

    I recently spoke to someone who'd spent a couple of weeks driving around Oklahoma, Arkansas, and North Texas.  She said she didn't see a whole lot of Trump gear flying, but she did see a lot of signs indicating an infrastructure project signed off by Biden.

  6. On 6/30/2024 at 5:43 AM, W. Niederhut said:

    Cliff,

        Biden's good work as POTUS (with a few exceptions, like the JFK records blockade and Gaza) isn't really the issue right now, IMO.

        Does he look like a man who can effectively serve another four year term in a highly demanding executive job?

        Anyone who thinks so is in denial. 

    William, I stand corrected.

    Olivia Nuzzi is an excellent journalist.  Joe's gotta go.

    Harris-Shapiro '24.

  7. 12 minutes ago, Matt Allison said:

    hmm, I thought the CBS poll showed it a wash

    Screenshot_20240703-111801.png?172002135

    Reuters Ipso shows gains for Biden:

     

    Caveat: I think the polls are nonsense this year and vastly overestimate Trump's percentages.

    While no one is "excited" by Biden, Trump is universally loathed outside his cult. Never seen an American as unpopular as him in my lifetime, outside of Nixon.

    My bad. CNN.

  8. On 7/2/2024 at 3:00 PM, Cliff Varnell said:

    The post-debate backlash against Biden appears to be fading.

    Or not.  Recent NY Times, CBS, and Wall St. Journal polls show Trump leads outside the margin of error.

    Over the next week or maybe two Biden needs to come across like Bryan Cranston ("I am the one who knocks.")

  9. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/one-three-democrats-think-biden-should-quit-race-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-07-02/

    WASHINGTON, July 2 (Reuters) - One in three Democrats think U.S. President Joe Biden should end his reelection bid following last week's debate against Republican Donald Trump, but no prominent elected Democrat does any better than Biden in a hypothetical matchup against Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on Tuesday.
     
    The two-day poll found that both Trump, 78, and Biden, 81, maintain the support of 40% of registered voters, suggesting that Biden has not lost ground since the debate. Election Day is Nov. 5. 
    </q>
     
    An earlier poll showed 45% of Democrats thought Biden should drop out.
     
    The post-debate backlash against Biden appears to be fading.
  10. 42 minutes ago, W. Niederhut said:

    They aren't merely "pundits," Cliff.

    They are the leading liberal intellectuals in the U.S.-- e.g., Krugman, Kristof, Norman Soloman, et.al.

    Needless to say, any Democrat would be a vastly superior choice for 2025 than the Orange Psychopath-- the worst POTUS in American history, by scholarly consensus.  But a second Biden inauguration could play out like Weekend At Bernie's.

    Is Biden going to catch a cold again?  He gave a rousing speech in North Carolina the next day, and a strong denunciation of the immunity ruling yesterday.  He raised $33 million within 48 hours of the debate.  An aggregate of post-debate polling shows a 2% drop -- hardly a collapse. 

    Four factors in Biden's favor:  abortion on the ballot in Nevada, Florida and probably Arizona; the GOP get-out-the-vote effort is led by rank amateurs, Lara Trump and Charlie Kirk; Biden's masterful intrusion into the global oil market should result in significant price drops at the pump this fall; Trump will become even more unhinged as he tastes victory.

    42 minutes ago, W. Niederhut said:

    And, now that the Koch/Federalist Society SCOTUS has hijacked the U.S. government and blocked Trump's prosecutions, our democracy is hanging by a thread.

    And the last thing we need is a Democratic Party squabbling over another nominee over the next two months.

    42 minutes ago, W. Niederhut said:

    Arguing obsessively about the JFK records in July of 2024 is a bit like fretting about a piece of burned toast while the entire house is burning down.

    The JFK records are important, but America's house is currently on fire.

    Spread the word, my brother!

  11. 3 hours ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    Again Cliff, yes the stakes are high!

    Higher by orders of magnitude compared to 28 hours ago.

    3 hours ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    Does that make it inevitable that the American voter will wake up to that fact?

    Trump acts like he's already won and he's laying out his second term agenda -- "televised military tribunals."

    We need to help him spread the word.

    3 hours ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    of course a big question is who wouldl replace Biden?

    Biden caught a cold and liberal pundits wet the bed.

  12. 2 hours ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    If it comes down to voting for Biden, I will.

    But you guys better start getting serious. Biden is currently teetering!

    This isn't a joke!

    Trump Amplifies Calls to Jail Top Elected Officials, Invokes Military Tribunals

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/01/us/politics/trump-liz-cheney-treason-jail.html 

    “Donald Trump over the weekend escalated his vows to prosecute his political opponents, circulating posts on his social media website invoking ‘televised military tribunals’ and calling for the jailing of President Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris, Senators Mitch McConnell and Chuck Schumer and former Vice President Mike Pence, among other high-profile politicians,” the New York Times reports.

    “Mr. Trump, using his account on Truth Social on Sunday, promoted two posts from other users of the site that called for the jailing of his perceived political enemies.” <quote off>

    The entire world is teetering!

     

  13. 24 minutes ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    Not if Biden can't win. This ups the stakes, it's true..

    Except for one debate, he's never lost.

    24 minutes ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    Cliff, what I've found for years now, is a supremely confident group here thinking Biden will win. Here's the reality.

    The reality is that the price of gas will drop significantly in October due to Biden's bold use of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

    24 minutes ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    -Biden will not take any states away from Trump in 2020!

    North Carolina.  With abortion on the ballot Florida is also in play.

    24 minutes ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    -But Trump will take from Biden!

    - If the election is held today. If he loses any one of the 3 states Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, Biden loses the election!

    -In all these 3 states, they are currently too close to call, with Trump with a slight edge in 2 of them!

    Dems have been over performing in state and local elections since the Dobbs decision two years ago.

    24 minutes ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    - It's going to probably be the closest  election in U.S. history. The most electoral votes Biden could possibly get I think would be 276-262!

    This is no longer a Presidential election.  It's an election for King.

    24 minutes ago, Kirk Gallaway said:

    -Another words , Biden was not a shoo-in, even before his terrible performance!

    You can adopt the "unforced error "attitude that the American people will finally see Trump self destruct, or maybe a new scandal will do him in, which could happen, but personally, I don't want to depend on that!

    Should the Democratic Party spend the next two months in pitched internecine battle over another nominee, or spend the next four months harping on the consequence of a certain Trump dictatorship?

    Buck up, lad.

  14. 1 hour ago, Paul Rigby said:

    The rich? Solidly Biden, as you would expect for the party of empire and war:

    There are no Fortune 100 CEOs who are supporting Donald Trump, says Yale’s Jeffrey Sonnenfeld:

    Battle of big fonts?

    America’s Top 100 Donors Heavily Favor Trump and the Republicans

    https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/06/rich-top-100-campaign-donors-lean-trump-republican/

    1 hour ago, Paul Rigby said:

    As for your argument that we should be grateful to Biden - more accurately, whoever is actually running US foreign policy given that the POTUS is a corpse - for only killing 80,000 Palestinian civilians,

    And if your hero Trump had been President it would have been a half million plus.

    Trump says Israel needs to ‘finish what they started’ and said war with Hamas is ‘taking a long time’

    https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/04/politics/trump-israel-comments/index.html

     

    1 hour ago, Paul Rigby said:

    continuing to occupy a third of Syria (and still stealing its oil),

    Syria/Russia: Strategy Targeted Civilian Infrastructure

    Unlawful Attacks on Hospitals, Schools, Markets Forced Idlib Population Out

    https://www.hrw.org/news/2020/10/15/syria/russia-strategy-targeted-civilian-infrastructure

    Lots of blame to go around in Syria, best you leave that alone unless you're willing to blame Putin and Assad as well.

    1 hour ago, Paul Rigby said:

    not to mention the sabotage of the peace agreement in Ukraine

    A peace deal proposed after Putin's catastrophic invasion of Ukraine was more of an invitation to surrender.  Putin wanted to keep NATO at bay so his invasion added 800 miles of heavily armed Finns to the Russian border.

    Trump called Putin a "genius" and "savvy" for one of the biggest military blunders in history.

    1 hour ago, Paul Rigby said:

    and the worst act of ecological terrorism in history, the less said the better. Biden has been a thuggish, far-right catastrophe draped in rainbow colours and gimp masks. Hunter would have done less damage, and would undoubtedly have been more entertaining.

    Trump would have pulled out of NATO and left the rest of Eastern Europe to Putin's tender mercies.  He may do it yet.

     

  15. 33 minutes ago, W. Niederhut said:

    Cliff,

       You must have missed my comment (above) about the issue of Biden's fitness for the future (2025-29) job vs. past performance.

        Incidentally, I just saw a CBS poll showing that half of all DEMOCRATS (46%) now believe that Biden should step down, due to his advanced age (89%.)

    A lot of Republican politicians withdrew their support for Trump following the Access Hollywood tape release.

    3 weeks later no one was talking about it anymore.

    In two weeks Trump is sentenced for 34 felonies falsifying business records in order to interfere in an election.  Think people will be talking about Biden's debate performance after that?

×
×
  • Create New...