Thanks Douglas
I tracked down the Forbes article on this - very interesting reading about how the model works.
Basically, it takes the bets on Predictit.org as a better estimate for who is going to win - not the who will you vote for question polls ask - then seems to use that data to predict the outcomes in states & EC votes.
The contract price for a Dem win is currently 59¢ which translates to a whopping 59% of the popular vote for the Data Scientist at Northwestern Univ.
His site -> https://virtualtout.com has the best explanation of his model for those interested. Currently, he predicts a these numbers for the EC vote count. It's an interesting and short (<5 mins) read.
September 17: Harris/Walz (438), Trump/Vance (100)
and here's the betting site the predictions are based on:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election