Matt Allison Posted Thursday at 08:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:03 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Allison Posted Thursday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:13 PM When things have gotten so bad that you can't even slant the polls in your favor anymore... https://newrepublic.com/post/184489/new-poll-conservative-group-disaster-trump-kamala New Poll From Conservative Group Spells Disaster for Trump The results show Kamala Harris enjoying significant momentum in several key swing states. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Allison Posted Thursday at 08:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:32 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
W. Niederhut Posted Thursday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:42 PM 9 minutes ago, Matt Allison said: Matt, Isn't Nate Silver now working for J.D. Vance's MAGA sugar daddy, Peter Thiel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Douglas Caddy Posted Thursday at 09:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:17 PM Election 2024 live updates: Democratic delegates begin online voting to nominate Harris - The Washington Post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill Fite Posted Thursday at 09:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:48 PM 1 hour ago, Matt Allison said: Matt - I followed the 2016 campaign very closely. Nate Silver at one point put out a 95% probability Hillary would win. On Twitter - Nassim N. Taleb, the author of the Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness basically called him an idiot and pointed out how mathematically at that point in time the odds should have been around 50-50. There followed a lot of interesting posts on Twitter. I, around that time, had pointed out to my family that Hillary would probably lose based on the articles I was reading on left-leaning sites, causing them to insult me by calling me a Trump supporter. I remember Silver one time saying that it was amazing to him how much money you could make just by calculating simple averages. 538 is only interesting for looking at polling results not for projections. I think Taleb is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Allison Posted Thursday at 11:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:12 PM No joke, this is an actual rumor circulating on Twitter right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ron Bulman Posted Friday at 12:34 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:34 AM Check out new records in Phoenix & Vegas at the bottom of the article. Death Valley just recorded the hottest month ever observed on the planet (msn.com) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
W. Niederhut Posted Friday at 12:44 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:44 AM Happy Jerry Garcia Day, folks! Should it be a national holiday? 😎 I'm heading up to Gunnison County for a week-- no television, internet, or phone service. It's 100 F here in Denver and we've got forest fire smoke from four different fires along the Front Range. Stay cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Allison Posted Friday at 03:37 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:37 AM I think everyone knows a person like Trump; someone who claims they can do anything better than you, anything better than anyone else. And then never, ever does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Allison Posted Friday at 04:02 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:02 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirk Gallaway Posted Friday at 06:17 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:17 AM (edited) Stephen Bonell who also goes by the name of "Destiny," which sounds very egotistical,but nonetheless is a stud in these debates below! Bonnell was born of super right wing Anti Castro parents who fled Cuba in the 60's . This is a Piers Morgan podcast involving on one side Bonnell and Cenk Uygur against 2 Trumpists I don't know the name of. Morgan is really a pro Trumpist masquerading as some twisted sort of "enlightened centrist. " I'm aware of the meaning of the term "flake" to describe a person but not as aware of the current extrapolation into "snowflake" but I think the libertarian women here who seems to love Marilyn Monroe falls perfectly into what I envision the term snowflake should be, in that it's still flaky, but conveys a general harmlessness. The other Trumpist is a black body builder with lots of tattoos. There was an instance with both of them where I did agree with but in general they were fodder for Bonnell and Uygur. Then they bring in snotty Toni Lahren of blonde women Fox news in a setting like out of a beauty pageant. My only regret is that there wasn't time to completely grill her! One wasted segment about Pier's Catholic sensitivities, Get over yourself Piers. W. I don't know if Piers just recently moved to Denver but I've never seen majestic mountains like that in the U.K.! Edited Friday at 08:02 AM by Kirk Gallaway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill Fite Posted Friday at 08:17 AM Share Posted Friday at 08:17 AM An interesting development: Harris has cut her unfavorable poll numbers in more than half: July 1: 54% Unfavorable 36% Favorable Net: -17% Aug 3: 49% Unfavorable 42% Favorable Net: -6.5% Meanwhile: Biden's net has stayed relatively constant at -17% to -18% over the same period. Trump's has decreased from -11% to -9%. Link to favorability polling at 538 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Thomas Posted Friday at 01:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:56 PM - Simone Biles - "I love my black job." Steve Thomas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Douglas Caddy Posted Friday at 04:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:55 PM Chevron is moving to my hometown Chevron (CVX) earnings Q2 2024 (cnbc.com) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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